Thursday, February 22, 2018

Euronet Latest Pullback Comes With Much Greater Operating Uncertainties

As I've mentioned in past articles on Euronet (EEFT), this is a pretty classic "second chance" stock, as the stock's generally high multiples and the company's somewhat erratic growth trajectory have led to frequent double-digit declines that give investors another chance to get into what has been a pretty good growth story over the past decade-plus.

The shares have chopped lower since the third quarter earnings report, and some soft spots in fourth quarter earnings and guidance (for the first quarter) haven't helped, not to mention ongoing worries about what the EU may do regarding regulation of dynamic currency conversion. I still believe, though, that there are attractive growth prospects in the ATM and money transfer business, as well as the epay segment as it transitions away from mobile top-up. If a revenue growth rate in the mid-to-high single digits and a mid-teens growth rate for EBITDA and FCF are still reasonable expectations, these shares offer meaningful upside into the high-$90s, but the downside risk if EU reforms decimate DCC revenue is significant (into the $60s).

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Euronet Latest Pullback Comes With Much Greater Operating Uncertainties

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