Thursday, October 5, 2017

S&W Seed Has To Rebuild Its Growth Credibility

Small-cap growth stories rarely manage to avoid bumps in the road, but the bumps that S&W Seed (SANW) have hit have been larger than average, taking the shares down almost 40% since my article on the company back in October of 2016. In addition to some ongoing challenges in growing conditions, the company has seen serious destocking among major customers in Saudi Arabia and the resignation of its CEO, not to mention meaningful reductions in guidance and expectations.

S&W isn’t past a point of no return, but there’s a fair bit of debt on the balance sheet, not much likelihood of strong near-term cash flow, and a lot of variables that are outside of management’s control. This company could still generate $200 million or more in revenue within the next 10 years, but this is really only a story suitable for investors who can take on risks that are well above average.

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S&W Seed Has To Rebuild Its Growth Credibility

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